Thursday, September 1, 2016

9 Great Fantasy Values on ESPN Compared to Other Sites’ ADP

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At this point, nearly everyone has a Fantasy Football league on ESPN, while they might also have a more serious league on CBS, or an less-serious league on Yahoo! (And if you’re smart, you have a league or an MFL10 over at MyFantasyLeague.com!)

So since CBS, ESPN and Yahoo! all have writers that do preseason rankings that populate the projections that populate the suggested draft rankings in their respective draft rooms, it stands to reason that the Average Draft Position on each site has some major differences.

Over on FantasyPros.com, their ADP is an amalgam of ADPs from several draft sites, like the ones mentioned above, NFL.com and FFC. So it stands to reason that some players are great Fantasy values on one site, but not as great on another because their Fantasy ADP is too high.

We tracked down nine great Fantasy values on ESPN that have a lower ADP than other sites, which means they should be available later in your drafts!

The best way to get a great idea of how your ESPN Fantasy draft is going to turn out is to use the free Draft Wizard Mock Draft tool along with ESPN’s rankings.

9 Players You Can Take Later On ESPN Than Other Sites


If ESPN’s ADP is lower on these players, then their Fantasy value makes them better buys because you can get them a round or more later than on other sites.

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  • 1/9



Latavius Murray, RB, Oakland Raiders: ESPN ADP 48





His FantasyPros ADP has him as an early fourth-rounder, and as an RB2, he holds great promise in a Raiders offense that has a very good offensive line, and the potential to be one of the breakout units of 2016.

Murray’s ADP is relatively low because people expect DeAndre Washington to take away some third-down snaps from him as a pass-catching back. (I agree with this, by the way!) But I also know that this offense should be able to sustain two pretty good Fantasy backs, including Murray, who was a top-10 Fantasy running back last year.

Photo Credit: Brian Bahr, Getty Images








  • 2/9



Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: ESPN ADP 126





With Arian Foster slowly rising up draft boards across the country, it stands to reason that Ajayi’s Fantasy value is dipping. But Foster is a 30-year-old running back with a variety of injuries in his background. Picking up an RB4 like this second-year player, with good odds on returning to the starting lineup in Miami, is a solid choice in Round 10 or 11 of 12-team ESPN drafts.

Photo Credit: Joel Auerbach, Getty Images








  • 3/9



Chris Ivory, RB, N.Y. Jets: ESPN ADP 94





While Yahoo! actually has an even lower ADP on Ivory (98), most other sites have him going in the 60s or 70s, expecting him to take most of the goal-line work away from T.J. Yeldon, and even some between-the-20s touches. While I like Yeldon better overall, Ivory in Round 10 of 10-team ESPN leagues is a bargain, for sure.

Photo Credit: Joel Auerbach, Getty Images








  • 4/9



Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego Chargers: ESPN ADP 31





Most draft sites have Allen as a late-second-round pick in 12-team leagues, with Yahoo! showing him as a top-20 pick. ESPN, however, has the fourth-year wide receiver as a third-round pick, which doesn’t sound like much of a drop. But when you’re deciding between the Chargers’ star WR and a running back like Eddie Lacy or Doug Martin late in Round 2, expect to have a shot at Allen on the comeback in Round 3.

Photo Credit: Donald Miralle, Getty Images








  • 5/9



Allen Hurns, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: ESPN ADP 84





Both CBS and ESPN see the Jaguars second wide receiver as more of a seventh-rounder in 12-team leagues, but other sites have the former Hurricanes wideout as a sixth-rounder. Again, one round of difference doesn’t sound bad, but consider that while the Jaguars are expected to be better defensively, this offense could still be forced to throw it a ton in the second half. If you’re deciding between Hurns and an RB3 in Round 6, go RB, then come back with Hurns in Round 7.

Photo Credit: Mike Ehrmann, Getty Images








  • 6/9



Josh Doctson, WR, Washington Redskins: ESPN ADP NR





Some injured players are tricky to draft on ESPN because they’re not even getting picked in a lot of leagues. This stud rookie wide receiver out of TCU is dealing with an Achilles’ injury, which certainly slows down most speedsters. But head coach Jay Gruden expects Doctson to return to practice very soon, and that makes him a nice flier late in drafts.

Photo Credit: Joe Robbins, Getty Images








  • 7/9



Julius Thomas, TE, Jacksonville Jaguars: ESPN ADP 108





Yahoo! has the former Broncos tight end going off the board in Round 8 of 10-team leagues, whereas ESPN and CBS see Thomas more as a Round 11-type player – a three-round difference! (Even in 12-team leagues, it’s a difference of two-round difference.)

Thomas is healthy now, after being beat up before stepping on the field to start last season, and he finished strong. He should become Blake Bortles’ favorite target in the red zone sooner than later.

Photo Credit: Stacy Revere, Getty Images








  • 8/9



Dwayne Allen, TE, Indianapolis Colts: ESPN ADP 171





Along with the previous discussion about Julius Thomas, these two players are a couple of the reasons why you shouldn’t bite on drafting a player like Jordan Reed in Round 3 or 4.

CBS has Allen much higher, with an ADP of 128, because they know what we know: Rob Chudzinski helps tight ends become Fantasy beasts, including Kellen Winslow, Greg Olsen and Jordan Cameron. Chud takes over at offensive coordinator in Indianapolis, and Coby Fleener isn’t taking targets away from Allen this season.

Photo Credit: Rob Leiter, Getty Images








  • 9/9



Los Angeles Rams DST: ESPN ADP 176





With a young up-and-coming defense like the Rams have, it surprises me to see them getting picked as low as they’re being taken on ESPN (Round 15 of 12-team leagues). Consider that Yahoo! has them coming off the board in the top 80 picks as a top-five defense, then you see how they’re a nice value on ESPN.

DE Robert Quinn, DT Aaron Donald and LB Alec Ogletree are all either stars already or they’re burgeoning beasts on the field. As long as Todd Gurley and the Rams’ running game keeps controlling the clock, the Rams defense will remain well-rested, and they’ll be on the field less than other defenses, which is a good thing!

Photo Credit: Jamie Squire, Getty Images














1/9



Latavius Murray, RB, Oakland Raiders: ESPN ADP 48








His FantasyPros ADP has him as an early fourth-rounder, and as an RB2, he holds great promise in a Raiders offense that has a very good offensive line, and the potential to be one of the breakout units of 2016.

Murray’s ADP is relatively low because people expect DeAndre Washington to take away some third-down snaps from him as a pass-catching back. (I agree with this, by the way!) But I also know that this offense should be able to sustain two pretty good Fantasy backs, including Murray, who was a top-10 Fantasy running back last year.

Photo Credit: Brian Bahr, Getty Images





2/9



Jay Ajayi, RB, Miami Dolphins: ESPN ADP 126








With Arian Foster slowly rising up draft boards across the country, it stands to reason that Ajayi’s Fantasy value is dipping. But Foster is a 30-year-old running back with a variety of injuries in his background. Picking up an RB4 like this second-year player, with good odds on returning to the starting lineup in Miami, is a solid choice in Round 10 or 11 of 12-team ESPN drafts.

Photo Credit: Joel Auerbach, Getty Images





3/9



Chris Ivory, RB, N.Y. Jets: ESPN ADP 94








While Yahoo! actually has an even lower ADP on Ivory (98), most other sites have him going in the 60s or 70s, expecting him to take most of the goal-line work away from T.J. Yeldon, and even some between-the-20s touches. While I like Yeldon better overall, Ivory in Round 10 of 10-team ESPN leagues is a bargain, for sure.

Photo Credit: Joel Auerbach, Getty Images





4/9



Keenan Allen, WR, San Diego Chargers: ESPN ADP 31








Most draft sites have Allen as a late-second-round pick in 12-team leagues, with Yahoo! showing him as a top-20 pick. ESPN, however, has the fourth-year wide receiver as a third-round pick, which doesn’t sound like much of a drop. But when you’re deciding between the Chargers’ star WR and a running back like Eddie Lacy or Doug Martin late in Round 2, expect to have a shot at Allen on the comeback in Round 3.

Photo Credit: Donald Miralle, Getty Images





5/9



Allen Hurns, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars: ESPN ADP 84








Both CBS and ESPN see the Jaguars second wide receiver as more of a seventh-rounder in 12-team leagues, but other sites have the former Hurricanes wideout as a sixth-rounder. Again, one round of difference doesn’t sound bad, but consider that while the Jaguars are expected to be better defensively, this offense could still be forced to throw it a ton in the second half. If you’re deciding between Hurns and an RB3 in Round 6, go RB, then come back with Hurns in Round 7.

Photo Credit: Mike Ehrmann, Getty Images





6/9



Josh Doctson, WR, Washington Redskins: ESPN ADP NR








Some injured players are tricky to draft on ESPN because they’re not even getting picked in a lot of leagues. This stud rookie wide receiver out of TCU is dealing with an Achilles’ injury, which certainly slows down most speedsters. But head coach Jay Gruden expects Doctson to return to practice very soon, and that makes him a nice flier late in drafts.

Photo Credit: Joe Robbins, Getty Images





7/9



Julius Thomas, TE, Jacksonville Jaguars: ESPN ADP 108








Yahoo! has the former Broncos tight end going off the board in Round 8 of 10-team leagues, whereas ESPN and CBS see Thomas more as a Round 11-type player – a three-round difference! (Even in 12-team leagues, it’s a difference of two-round difference.)

Thomas is healthy now, after being beat up before stepping on the field to start last season, and he finished strong. He should become Blake Bortles’ favorite target in the red zone sooner than later.

Photo Credit: Stacy Revere, Getty Images





8/9



Dwayne Allen, TE, Indianapolis Colts: ESPN ADP 171








Along with the previous discussion about Julius Thomas, these two players are a couple of the reasons why you shouldn’t bite on drafting a player like Jordan Reed in Round 3 or 4.

CBS has Allen much higher, with an ADP of 128, because they know what we know: Rob Chudzinski helps tight ends become Fantasy beasts, including Kellen Winslow, Greg Olsen and Jordan Cameron. Chud takes over at offensive coordinator in Indianapolis, and Coby Fleener isn’t taking targets away from Allen this season.

Photo Credit: Rob Leiter, Getty Images





9/9



Los Angeles Rams DST: ESPN ADP 176








With a young up-and-coming defense like the Rams have, it surprises me to see them getting picked as low as they’re being taken on ESPN (Round 15 of 12-team leagues). Consider that Yahoo! has them coming off the board in the top 80 picks as a top-five defense, then you see how they’re a nice value on ESPN.

DE Robert Quinn, DT Aaron Donald and LB Alec Ogletree are all either stars already or they’re burgeoning beasts on the field. As long as Todd Gurley and the Rams’ running game keeps controlling the clock, the Rams defense will remain well-rested, and they’ll be on the field less than other defenses, which is a good thing!

Photo Credit: Jamie Squire, Getty Images





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